Ultimately, this deck plays well against creature-based strategies, but being in Mono-Black comes with a price
UnStable s legendary creatures all have this very careful, sober feel to their card design, which in hindsight seems as though Wizards was trying to get them Rule Zerod into casual Commander without actually making them black border
P(0 Copies Prized): P(0 in hand) P(0 in prizes|0 in hand) + P(1 in hand) P(0 in prizes|1 in hand) + P(2 in hand) P(0 in prizes|2 in hand) = dhyper(0,2,58,7) dhyper(0,2,51,6) + dhyper(1,2,58,7) dhyper(0,1,52,6) + dhyper(2,2,58,7) 1 = 0.8084746 P(1 Copy Prized): P(0 in hand) P(1 in prizes|0 in hand) + P(1 in hand) P(1 in prizes|1 in hand) = dhyper(0,2,58,7) dhyper(1,2,51,6) + dhyper(1,2,58,7) dhyper(1,1,52,6) = 0.1830508 P(2 Copies Prized): P(0 in hand) P(2 in prizes|0 in hand) = dhyper(0,2,58,7) dhyper(2,2,51,6) = 0.008474576 Though this does look daunting, keep in mind that we are doing the same thing as before, just with a few more cases
This one also comes with a similar card I debated putting in over it - Yawgmoth's Will
I would increase the presence of these cards that force opponents to attack each other and invest more in precon's political footprint
